Blog Posts

False fast start

horse sprinting track

Never has ECO seen such enthusiasm from industrialised countries (especially the umbrellas), on the LCA plenary floor, to get out of the starting blocks and support developing countries to take climate action with ‘fast start’ finance. Such eagerness to move down the track got ECO very excited.

But on closer inspection, our excitement was dashed. ECO looked again and saw that the track drops off a cliff after a few metres.

Climate finance certainly needs to get moving fast, and ‘fast start’ finance sounds very stirring and athletic. But this is not just a race for sprinters, it’s a marathon!

In 2007, the Bali Action Plan (BAP) endorsed by all Parties launched a comprehensive process “to enable the full, effective and sustained implementation of the Convention through long-term cooperative action, now, up to and beyond 2012.” According to the BAP there is no funding now without funding later.

As December 18 draws ever closer, ECO knows world leaders must leave Copenhagen prepared to run with something more than fast start finance. And it now seems clear that industrialised countries are thinking of taking shortcuts across the track by using already committed aid money for climate finance, taking a deeper bite into precarious aid budgets.

ECO warns industrialised country leaders that repackaged aid is not, and will not be a substitute for predictable, additional and adequate finance over both the near and long run.

To avoid a false start here in Copenhagen, kick start finance must be accompanied by a legally binding agreement on the scale, sources, governance and additionality of long-term finance. And the finish line must be at $195 billion a year to stay below 2˚C. Otherwise, those industrialised country leaders should get ready to run for the warming hills.

Photo courtesy of Kanagen

Annex I targets trickery

forest redd
Industrialised countries have come to Copenhagen with a plan to weaken their national targets through LULUCF loopholes. They spurn the idea that they should have to account for increased emissions from forest management.

Instead of accounting for increased emissions from a historical level, as is done for all other sectors, industrialised countries are saying they will not account for emission increases as long as they are planned, i.e. business-as-usual.

This is like saying countries will not account for emissions from new coal-fired power plants as long as their construction is ‘business-as-usual.’

Australia, Canada and New Zealand have explicitly expressed their intent to increase forest harvest and therefore emissions. Many European countries may be doing the same, but the EU – at this crucial moment – has failed to even describe what they are calling ‘business-as-usual,’ undermining the transparency of LULUCF negotiations. Japan is addicted to the credits it gets from the current forest management rules and so has artificially created the same outcome here, even though its forest sink is declining. The end-result is that an amount of emissions roughly equal to half of the total Kyoto emissions reduction target for the first commitment period will not be accounted for.

Some countries have proposed to account for actual changes in emissions. Norway and Russia have both proposed 1990 as a base year to account for actual changes in emissions. However, both benefit from this choice and would earn credits.

ECO sees only one possible leader in this mess. Switzerland appears to be the only Party that has not proposed an optimal baseline for itself, forecasting a net increase in emissions that it will actually account for. It is a sad statement that such a fundamental gesture in a climate agreement must be taken as leadership.

Photo courtesy of Nosha.

FOSSIL OF THE DAY AWARD

fossillogo_small_w

Climate Action Network (CAN) launched its highly-popular “Fossil of the Day” awards ceremony yesterday on the opening day of the climate negotiations. The awards are given to the country or countries doing the most to obstruct progress in the global climate talks.


First Place – Industrialised Countries

Industrialised countries (“Annex I” countries, in climate-ese) won first place for coming to Copenhagen with a profound deficit of ambition for cutting carbon emissions and keeping warming well below 2˚C.


Second Place – Sweden, Finland and Austria

These countries roared into the fossil leader board for backing a devious EU proposal to cook the books by not fully accounting for emissions from forest management.

Third Place - Canada

Canada earned its first fossil for Environment Minister Jim Prentice’s proclamation that his nation “won’t be swayed” by Copenhagen “hype.” And yet, if there is a country on the face of this planet that so desperately needs to be swayed, it is Canada.

Fossil awards are presented daily in a Hollywood-style glittering ceremony at 6 p.m. at the exhibition area of the Bella Centre. Take the time to be razzled and dazzled daily. For full citations, go to www.fossiloftheday.org

Fossil Awards Day 2: World's Shame Rains on Ukraine

fossil12_8_1The world's shame rained on Ukraine today as the Eastern European nation was singled out for not just one but two Fossils dishonours. Ukraine swept first place for having the single worst climate target in the world then collected third prize for refusing to tell anyone how it is using its money from selling emissions credits.fossil12_8_1The world's shame rained on Ukraine today as the Eastern European nation was singled out for not just one but two Fossils dishonours. Ukraine swept first place for having the single worst climate target in the world then collected third prize for refusing to tell anyone how it is using its money from selling emissions credits. Second place, for their shameful oil and gas subsidies, went to an association of industrialized non-EU countries known as the Umbrella Group.

FIRST PLACE: UKRAINE
Ukraine wins first place for having the single worst carbon emissions reduction target in the world: a -20% reduction from 1990 levels... which means a 75% increase from current levels. The semi-technical term for this sort of "reduction"--note the quotation marks--is hot air. It's this hot air that was sold to Japan; it's this kind of hot air that is boiling the climate; and it's this kind of hot air that will keep Ukraine and other dedicated emitter in the Fossil rankings until they see the light.

SECOND PLACE: THE UMBRELLA GROUP (Industrialized non-EU countries: Canada, Iceland, Japan, Kazakhstan, New Zealand, Norway, Russian Federation, Ukraine, United States and Australia)
A fossil for the Umbrella Group for proposing in this morning's SBSTA plenary that carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects should qualify as CDM projects. The brollies have gotten used to subsidizing the coal and oil industries in their own countries--but do they really have to subsidize the same dirty companies in developing countries too? The CDM should be reserved for projects that move developing countries towards actual clean energy solutions. Umbrella Group, good luck capturing and sequestering your Fossil Award!

THIRD PLACE: UKRAINE
Ukraine wins third--and its second Fossil of the Day… of the day!--for refusing to tell anyone how it is using its money from selling emissions credits. Ukraine has sold Japan €300 million worth of emissions permissions. It's required by its own treaty obligations to explain where that money is going. But when Ukraine's NGOs asked, their government refused to answer. The transparency fight is now in court--but perhaps the shaming power of the Fossil Awards will bring Ukraine's government to relent.

Jørgen

Jørgen is somewhat disconcerted that his government has changed its laws regarding demonstrations. An individual can now be held in custody for civil disobedience and, more importantly, for being involved “in action that is blocking […] and refusing to move.”

At the same time, Jorgen wonders if this law extends into the conference rooms at the Bella Center.

In the event it does, delegates from Canada, Saudi Arabia and other similarly-inclined countries would be wise to choose their negotiating strategies carefully. Otherwise, they may have to face the unintended consequences of the new Danish law.

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It must be a FAB deal

The attention of the world will focus on Copenhagen over the next two weeks, and eagerly awaits the outcomes of this conference. As we come together at this defining moment in time, the Climate Action Network (CAN) presents the essentials for a successful climate deal.

It has to be FAB – Fair, Ambitious and Binding.

In effect, the agreement which comes out of Copenhagen must safeguard the climate and must be fair to all countries. Specifically, it must include the following commitments.

  • Keep warming well below 2°C

    o Reducing greenhouse gas concentrations ultimately to 350ppm carbon dioxide-equivalent.

    o Peaking emissions within the 2013-2017 commitment period and rapidly declining emissions by at least 80% below 1990 levels by 2050.

    o Achieving this in a way that fully reflects the historic and current contributions of developed countries to climate change and the right of developing countries to sustainable development.

  • Industrialised countries as a group must take a target of more than 40% below 1990 levels by 2020

    o Reductions for individual countries should be assigned based on historic and present responsibility for emissions as well as current capacity to reduce emissions.

    o The use of offsets must be limited. As long as developed country targets fall short of ensuring that domestic emissions are reduced by at least 30% below 1990 levels by 2020, there is no room – or indeed need – for offsets.

    o Accounting for emissions and removals from Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) must be based on what the atmosphere sees.

    o Major sources of emissions must be accounted for, for example forest and peatland degradation.

    o LULUCF credits must not undermine or substitute for the significant investments and efforts required to reduce fossil fuel emissions.

  • Developing countries must be supported in their efforts to limit the growth of their industrial emissions, making substantial reductions below business-as-usual
  • Emissions from deforestation and degradation must be reduced to zero by 2020, funded by at least US$35 billion per year from developed countries
  • Developed countries need to provide at least US$195 billion in public financing per year by 2020, in addition to ODA commitments, for developing country actions

    o At least US$95 billion per year for low emissions development, halting deforestation, agriculture, and technology research and development in developing countries.

    o At least US$100 billion per year in grants for adaptation in developing countries, including an international climate insurance pool.

  • Double counting must be avoided

    o Offsets, purchased by an industrialised country from developing countries to help meet the industrialised country’s emissions reduction goal cannot be counted as also helping the developing country to meet its emissions reduction goal.

    o Payments for offsets should not be double counted. At least US$195 billion in public financing is required to support developing countries in reducing their emissions to the level demanded by science, and payments for offsets must not contribute towards this minimum public financing.

  • An Adaptation Action Framework that immediately and massively scales up predictable and reliable support to developing countries to adapt to the impacts of climate change
  • Copenhagen outcomes must be legally binding and enforceable

    o Until the international community agrees to a system that provides better environmental outcomes, a stronger compliance mechanism, and has widespread support, the Kyoto Protocol should continue with a second commitment period.

    o A complementary agreement should provide emission reduction commitments by the US comparable to other developed countries, incorporate financial commitments, and cover developing country action.

Clear and shared vision

All eyes will be on the Shared Vision text as CoP15 kicks off today. It is a key barometer for the talks as a whole and a highly effective way for those outside the Bella Center to gauge the top-line issues under discussion. Just a few days ago, the Everest Declaration issued by the Prime Minister of Nepal and his Cabinet, was a resounding endorsement of many existing principles within the shared vision proposals. ECO hopes that the same clarity and ambition found in the low-oxygen climes of Everest will inspire us here in the cold temperatures of Copenhagen.

If we think we are chilled, bundled up in scarves and sweaters on the streets of Copenhagen, the Cabinet of Nepal comprising 24 ministers, just returned from a high peak in the Himalayas, which we hope stays freezing cold for years to come. These ministers drafted the Everest Declaration in order to highlight what needs to be done to protect the vulnerable Himalayan region. As the Himalayas is a major source of drinking water and other ecosystem services for 1.3 billion people in the region, the impacts of climate change pose tremendous risks to these people.

The Everest Declaration contains many provisions found within the negotiating text for Shared Vision. It serves as an excellent reminder of the high stakes of reaching agreement based upon sound science and principles of equity. Some of the core principles of this declaration include reducing carbon emission to 350 parts per million, a plea to developed nations to fund the fight against climate change, and an entreaty to pay 1,5% of developed nations’ GDP to developing nations like Nepal for the ‘green cause.’

Other elements essential to the Shared Vision include regular scientific review; common but differentiated responsibility between developed and developing countries; recognition of human rights responsibilities – inclusive, active and meaningful participation of all stakeholders – and environmental integrity.

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From Copenhagen with love

[caption id="" align="alignright" width="161" caption="Merhilda guards the Magical Fossils Award Safe"]Merhilda guards the Magical Fossils Award Safe[/caption]
[caption id="" align="alignright" width="161" caption="Merhilda guards the Magical Fossils Award Safe"]Merhilda guards the Magical Fossils Award Safe[/caption]

Merhilda here!  I'm the deep sea guardian of the Magical Fossils Award Safe. Every evening at 6pm (CET) I come up from the frigid waters of Copenhagen Harbour to deliver the results from the day's super-secret CAN-Int meeting. It's good fun being inside the Bella Center since I spend most of my day sunbathing on a rock, but somehow I never seem to tan even with all the international paparazzi taking photos of me with flash.

Speaking of photos, did you see the wonderful audience at the awards ceremony yesterday evening? Our lovely set was overflowing! :-) Congratulations to the entire team for their hard work and dedication in bringing the awards to life.

Until tonight...

From Copenhagen with love,

Merhilda

P.S.- If you'd like to find out how come these countries were the best at doing their worst at the negotiations, please check out our press releases in the media section of our website.

Shock Fossil to Austria, Nordic countries on first day of Copenhagen!

[caption id="attachment_112" align="alignleft" width="161" caption="Fossil of the day 2009-12-07 1st place - All rich countries 2nd place - Sweden, Finland, Austria 3rd place - Canada Honorable mention - Saudi Arabia "]Fossil of the day 2009-12-07  1st place - All rich countries 2nd place - Sweden, Finland, Austria 3rd place - Canada Honorable mention - Saudi Arabia  Fossil of the day 2009-12-07  1st place - All rich countries 2nd place - Sweden, Finland, Austria 3rd place - Canada Honorable mention - Saudi Arabia  [/caption]
The Fossil of the Day awards got started with a roar today, with some claiming it to be the largest and most dramatic awards in recent memory. The awards carried some dramatic surprises - although the usual suspects claimed the two lower places, Saudi Arabia and Canada respectively, second place was awarded to Austria, Finland and Sweden for attempting to cook the books and reap unfair gains because of their large existing forests. First place went to ALL industrialised countries - for an overwhelming lack of ambition, as Annex 1 countries seem to be in a race to the bottom as the rest of the world looks on in horror.

[caption id="attachment_110" align="alignleft" width="300" caption="Ben Wikler of Avaaz.org chats with an Austrian delegate"]Ben Wikler of Avaaz.org chats with an Austrian delegate[/caption]

Pictured above is the presenter of the Fossil of the Day awards - Mr. Ben Wikler of Avaaz.org - having a chat with the Austrian delegate. I'm sure we'll see a change of position shortly!

Links:
Press release: http://www.fossiloftheday.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/Fossil-of-the-D...
Photos: http://www.flickr.com/photos/europeactionfactory/

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